Sunday, 7 October 2012

Pakistan : Center of the Grand Chessboard


Luke Rudkowski
An Unmanned Aerial Vehicle takes flight on a targeted mission from Shamsi Airfield, an airstrip subleased to the United States by the UAE from inside the southwest region of Pakistan. At the same time a farmer awakes, in northwest Pakistan, happy; a husband and father of four with his youngest daughter just married the day before. After reaching a service ceiling of 25,000 ft. and cruising speed of 103 mph the General Atomics MQ-1 Predator begins descending to its destination.  Hamid Abdullah, a refugee I met during my travels to the northwest border region, was a hardworking man, kind, loving and very caring of his family, finds his pantry empty and leaves for the market to collect groceries.  The Predator drone now in range locks on the target. Upon reaching the Bazaar, Abdullah, from behind him he hears a thundering explosion. After firing an AGM-114 Hellfire missile the drone begins to circumnavigate. As a concerned human, the Pakistani man, naturally inclined, runs to see what happened and to perhaps provide aid to anyone hurt. He approaches, and with crushing and crippling realization, his entire home in total destruction. The world of happiness, his family, lay dead in the rubble, wrenching vibrations send him to his knees. An hour later the UAV locks in the second Hellfire missile as the operator from Creech Air force Base in Nevada reaches to quench his thirst from a freshly refilled ice tea. In the tribal region of Pakistan first responders, neighbors, other civilians and business owners run with haste to pull out the dead and injured.  As temporary funeral preparations are made a $68,000 guided weapons system developed by Lockheed Martin strikes the same location inciting terror on a new level, killing the entire procession ofemergency services, tripling the original death toll of, not just innocent civilians, but honorable servicemen duty bound by the code of humanity.

The post-9/11 era has seen the likes of propaganda no society has seen in history. Granted the current dangers, the Anglo American society has branded Pakistan the most dangerous country in the world. The attack on national sovereignty, exploitation of installed political leadership, installation of private militaries, provocation of civil war, and torn earth to meet requirements of an energy corridor have humiliated and unsettled a region and its people. Government officials and media outlets now regard with doubt years of loyal support from the Pakistani people and their government. With any dictatorship, tactful communication to quell conflict remains shelved in favor of military force. In 2009 I traveled to the nation of Pakistan to seek answers. Government officials, journalists and the Pakistani people paint a totally different picture. The truth of the matter is the “President of Peace” has lead our nation into war once again, and with a conflict involving a nuclear power, the public opinion was subverted as clandestine engagement commenced.
In 1997 The Project for a New American Century was founded, as think-tank based in Washington with initiatives to project global hegemony under the guise of America’s unique role in preserving international order via “political and economic freedom.” After nine years of guiding the George ,bush administration PNAC has faded back and rebranded themselves as the “The Foreign Policy Initiative”, stating the completed task of introducing military policy and moral clarity (via PNAC) to an international base, now requiring leading action and implementation(via FPI). Mitt Romney takes the seat on the right side of political theater for the presidency and we can see the FPI resurfacing as advisors for his foreign policy team. This simply reinforces the continuity of world domination between Democrats and Republicans.
Further, the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event––like a new Pearl Harbor.” This is one sentence included in a 90 page report assembled by PNAC architects in September 2000, one year before September 11th 2001, and it’s only the beginning. The kerry-lugar act drafted by Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman John Kerry and ranking Republican Richard Lugar, authorizes a grant of $1.5 billion annually for 5 years. The bill explicitly and falsely states that “Pakistan has been a nuclear proliferator; and that parts of its territories are safe havens for terrorist networks.” The bill has given President Obama the power to “develop a comprehensive interagency regional security strategy to eliminate terrorist threats and close safe havens in Pakistan. Working with the government of Pakistan — to best implement effective counterinsergency and counterterrorism efforts in and near the border areas of Pakistan and Afghanistan, including the FATA, the NWFP, parts of Balochistan and parts of Punjab.” In other words, the power of the United States Presidency has now been extended to different provinces of Pakistan. He may now make decisions for not only the US, but also for the nation state of Pakistan. The Kerry-Lugar Act has successfully ended the country’s sovereignty. The people are very angered by it, and in fact it is known in Pakistan as the “document of surrender.” Kerry-Lugar makes support conditional on Pakistan’s military being subordinated to its elected government. These humiliating circumstances only weaken the civilian government and infuriate the power known in Pakistan to keep the political class in line. General Ashfaq Kayani has “reiterated that Pakistan is a sovereign state and has all the rights to analyze and respond to [national-security threats] in accordance with her own national interests.” As of March 2012, the “new PNAC” or The Foreign Policy Initiative has once again reiterated the strategy “To play a key role in shaping that future, the United States must continue to use foreign aid—strategically—to encourage positive changes in Pakistani policies.” Congressman Ron Paul states on Pakistan, “The way we treat our fellow countries around the world is we tell them what to do and if they do it we give them money, if they don’t do it we bomb them” The plan is drawn out and ongoing. To put it simple, Pakistan has become a serious road block for the modern day King. Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities make the strategy far more convoluted. The former national security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski  highlights the importance of Central Asia to achieving world domination. He knew well the public’s view of US militarism around the world and implementation would require the “circumstance of a truly massive and widely perceived direct external threat
The early 1990’s saw unmanned aircraft deployed out of the US arsenal in reconnaissance missions, recording images of terrain in the Balkans. After September 2001, President Bush signed a directive thatauthorized arming the drones. These new UAV were called Predators, equipped with signature hellfire missiles with the sole purpose of targeting leaders of al Qaeda, first in Afghanistan and later in Yemen and Pakistan. The limitations loosened, widening the directive to allow strikes against anyone working inside terrorist groups, not just individual suspects.
President Barack Obama has authorized 311 drone strikes in Pakistan since he took office in 2009, far exceeding the number of attacks that President George W. Bush authorized during his two terms.
The first drone strike was order 3 days after Obama’s inauguration January 20, 2009, with an outcome of 19 innocent civilians killed including 4 children. Despite statements made by public policy and research organizations of UAVs as an unreliable and inefficient tools against terrorists, drones are still hailed asimpressively accurate.   Obama’s “weapon of choice” is now responsible for the deaths of 3000 people, 200 of them children. The purpose of the drone campaign is to eradicate “militants.” How do we know who’s a militant when they’re defined as “any human being whose life is extinguished when an American missile or bomb detonates,” unless there is explicit intelligence posthumously proving them innocent. The use of terms such as “accuracy”, “efficiency” and “intended target” are meaningless, when anyone killed under the definition is a “terrorist” conveniently in a “war on terror.”
The nobel peace prize winning Barack H. Obama, “for his extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples“, has destroyed the homes of innocent civilians, targeted schools, funerals, marriage ceremonies, homes of worship and countless other places of simple life.
I’ve been following the events unfold in Pakistan as journalists across the world record the death.  When I read the headlines, an image of President Obama sitting around a table in a place called the “Situation Room” among other grown men and women casually scanning through documents and pictures with a “yearbook like layout” of suspected terrorists, many of which are children. I clench at the thought of Obama looking over to his advisors and approving the death of every person on the “kill list” presented, vetting none of the intelligence, and discarding common sense. Akin to a God on Earth the power to kill is executed with a nod from one man to another.   Unfortunately, my imagination is a reality, the “kill list” is real and like a true villain the desire and overindulgence of power and control sits in the office of the United States Presidency.
I can only wonder how one exactly gets on the list. Amos Guiora, a law professor at University of Utahserved in the Israel Defense Forces in the Judge Advocate General’s Corps (Lt. Col. Ret.) as well as legal adviser in the Gaza Strip,  someone who understands the weight of life-and-death decisions, stated that the method in which the US is targeting and killing suspects is, “Loosey goosey” and “largely devoid of external review.” His ““Whac-A-Mole” approach to counterterrorism will give rise to new and more sinister techniques to scourge and eradicate what he so carelessly calls the enemy.
The FBI warned “terrorists may use secondary explosive devices to kill and injure emergency personnel responding to an initial attack” and DHS coined the term “double tap” to refer to this tactic. An act brutish to say the least, the United States Government finds itself increasingly adopting this technique. In 2010,Wikileaks released a video involving an American Apache helicopter on its second round, firing multiple shots on the dead, wounded, rescuers, children, civilians and two Reuters journalists. The Laws of War clearly stipulate to allow “collection and care for the wounded, whether friend or foe” and to “not attack medical or religious personnel, facilities or equipment.” Double tap methods have been used to attackfuneralsmosqueshospital corridors, “suspected compounds,” and rescuing “militants,” yet no one has been identified and are neither on official terrorists lists as indicated by the use of “signature strikes.” Not only does this instill fear into first responders, but to journalists recording events as well.
Blackwater, more recently known as Acedemi, is a private military contractor, one of the largest working directly with the United States State Department. Characterized as a nefarious mercenary army, Blackwater has undergone perpetual rebranding, from Blackwater Worldwide to Blackwater USA and Xe Services LLC all in response to unlawful, immoral, degenerate activities and operations which has landed them every now and then under the scope legal complexities. They’ve been enrolled by the US government in the war with Iraq, Afghanistan and now PakistanThat makes Blackwater so attractive to government operations is the ability to bypass set limitations of war and congressional oversight that political and military institutions may not evade so easily. Earning millions in secured contracts with the US doesn’t stop them from pursuing large contracts with Arab monarchies such as the delivery of an “800-member battalion of foreign troops for the United Arab Emirates.” Deploying uniform soldiers in a declared war can pose intricate legal and political ramifications. Blackwater founder, Eric Prince states “…the private sector can operate there (in war) with a very, very small, very light footprint”. According a military intelligence source, Blackwater personnel work undercover as aid workers and “nobody even gives them a second thought.”
Jeremy Scahill, from The Nation reports a defense official, on background, specifically denied that Blackwater performs work on drone strikes or intelligence for the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) in Pakistan, quoted as saying “We don’t have any contracts to do that work for us. We don’t contract that kind of work out, period.” Pentagon spokesperson Geoff Morrell calls Blackwater operations in Pakistan “consipratorial.” Ambassador Richard Holbrooke also denied activities stating “People think that the US has troops in Pakistan, well, we don’t.” Blackwater spokesperson Mark Corallo said in a statement to The Nation, adding that the company has “no other operations of any kind in Pakistan,” aside from construction oversight for the U.S. Government.
Though Government and military officials defy inquiries about military and private contractors operating within the scope of war, multiple sources have proven otherwise, most notably a classified cable in 2009 by US ambassador to Pakistan, Anne Patterson stating “with the personal consent of” Chief of Army Staff General Kayani the “deployment of U.S. special operation elements” specifically mentioning the “SOC(FWD)-PAK” integrated within Pakistani military. Another cable from August 2008 describes a meeting with Anne Paterson and Pakistani Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gillani. Gillani states with sheer negligence, “I don’t care if they do it as long as they get the right people. We’ll protest in the National Assembly and then ignore it.” The October 2009 cable also discusses potential repercussions, affirming, “These deployments are highly politically sensitive because of widely-held concerns among the public about Pakistani sovereignty and opposition to allowing foreign military forces to operate in any fashion on Pakistani soil. Should these developments and/or related matters receive any coverage in the Pakistani or US media, the Pakistani military will likely stop making requests for such assistance.”
A military source spoke to The Nation on conditions of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the classified operations. The source confirmed Blackwaters facility in Karachi, Pakistan and stated “It’s Blackwater running the program for both CIA and JSOC.” This was also confirmed by a former senior executive at Blackwater. Erik Prince himself acknowledged his company’s presence in Pakistan in a private speech, blocked to all media, in Michigan, to a friendly crowd in his hometown.
Ever since September 2001, Pakistan’s death toll from suicide bombings, has reached 34,000 and the economy has lost well over $68 billion, a large number considering aid on a yearly bases from the U.S. is $28 billion. The notion that Blackwater is responsible for most of these suicide bombings occurring across the country resonates among reports documented by journalists in the state.
Chief of Pakistani- Pashtun Movement in Pakistan Hakimullah Mehsud blames Blackwater for a bomb blast in Peshawar which killed over 100 [Pakistani] people. He also told the BBC these attacks are “to malign the name of the Pakistani-Pakhtoons” by blaming them for the orchestrated attacks. Haftroza Al-Qalam, from the Urdu Daily reports “Evidence of the private U.S. security firm Blackwater’s involvement in the targeted killings of high-ranking Pakistani military officials.” Aamir Latif of IslamOnline states “The notorious US security firm Blackwater has reportedly established a presence in the restive tribal belt on the Afghan borders to help the FBI and CIA track down Al-Qaeda and Taliban militants allegedly hiding there and protect USAID projects.” Azam Tariq spokesman for tahreek e taliban pakistan (TTP), a parent organization of distinct military groups based in the northwestern Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) bordering Afghan told the Daily Times, “All these killings by the infamous Blackwater are aimed at maligning the Taliban,” and that “The TTP does not believe in killing of innocent citizens, and we will hold those who are doing this accountable.”
Blackwater is clearly operating in the region overt and covertly.  Even Hamid Karzai, president of Afghanistan doesn’t “yet know how many of these blasts are by Taliban and how many are carried out by them (Blackwater/Xe/Acedmie).”
Kurt Nimmo of Infowars.com makes a clear connection with Blackwater and statements from former national security advisor xbigniew zweinski who affirms in his book, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and its Geostrategic Imperatives. “To put it in a terminology that harkens back to the more brutal age of ancient empires, the three grand imperatives of imperial geostrategy are to prevent collusion and maintain security dependence among the vassals, to keep tributaries pliant and protected, and to keep the barbarians from coming together.”  CIA operations hexed with Blackwaters unrestricted presence will promulgate the aspiration of keeping “barbarians from coming together”  further destroying the idea of a nation state and establishing the continuity of imperialistic campaigns giving rise to a new order the world is now coming to see.
Between 2000 and 2010 the volume of bilateral trade between China and Pakistan grew sevenfold, with Chinese companies currently working on 250 projects within Pakistan. Wen Jiabao, the Chinese Premier was accompanied by 250 Chinese businessmen on a visit to Pakistan. At the end of this trip $35 billion were contracted between sides covering energy, trade, natural resources, agriculture, livestock, finance and banking.  Joint ventures within Pakistan include the Thae coal project, widening of Karakoram Highway, the Basha Dam, Saindak gold and copper project and most importantly the Gawadar deep sea port.
About 40% of the world’s oil passes through the Persian Gulf, and at the mouth lies Gawadar. With 80% of the $300 million covered by the Chinese, this project would allow China direct access to the West enabling secure supply of oil and gas. Transportation would run right through Pakistan via a network of rail, putting the country in the middle of an energy and trade corridor. Currently 70% of the oil China consumes is purchased from the Middle East and the Persian Gulf. By the year 2025, it’s expected China will double its consumption, so it has become vital for China to obtain and maintain access to this western front, hence China’s ambitious presence and protective efforts in the region. Not only does this strategic partnership benefit Pakistan with potential earnings of 60 billion per year, it places the country on route to becoming a critical global energy player.
“Any attack on Pakistan would be construed as an attack on China,” a response coming from Beijing after the U.S. violates Pakistan’s national sovereignty while “capturing” the phantom Osamah Bin Laden.  Following the ultimatum came the delivery of 50 JF-17 aircraft from China, at no charge, enhancing the capabilities of the Pakistani Air Force. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Jiang Yu affirms “sovereignty and territorial integrity of Pakistan must be respected.” With 66 ICBMs behind them, China isn’t shy about protecting their important alliances.
China has replaced the United States as Pakistan’s principle source for arms and weapons. They have made agreements on 34 short-range ballistic missiles, F-22P frigates with helicopters, K-8 jet trainers, T-85 tanks, F-7 aircraft, small arms and ammunition, 36 J-10 aircraft, which would make Pakistan the first recipient of one of the most advanced weapon systems in China’s arsenal. China-Pakistan joint defense production facility is called the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex in Kamra, and a turnkey ballistic missiles manufacturing facility near Rawalpindi. Pakistan and China have also signed an agreement under which China will construct four submarines for Pakistan with Chinese help.
According to a 2009 Fox News report, “The United States has a detailed plan for infiltrating Pakistan and securing its mobile arsenal of nuclear warheads if it appears the country is about to fall under the control of the Taliban, Al Qaeda or other Islamic extremists.” This plan was developed by General stanly mcchrystalwhen he headed the US Joint Special Operations Command at Fort Bragg, North Carolina. This report also coincides with the October 2009 cable and military source stating joint operations alongside Blackwater within the borders of Pakistan, a report officials, at the time, categorically denied.
Hamid Abdullah managed to miraculously be at the right place at the right time as the second missile hit its intended target. He survived to tell a truth which on the other side of the earth is exploited as a means to fuel the war machine that took his family’s life.Friends and neighbors told me the happiness was stripped from him like flesh torn from his face, he doesn’t look the same, even to himself. The tragedy sank deep. The once soft spoken man now speaks with hesitation looking on before speaking. He breaths the air of vengeance and has thought to join militant forces with the resources and logistics to put him at in front lines to fulfill the vindictive desire inside him. It has been his faith in God that has given him the peace of mind to remain steadfast and survive this life and invest in the hereafter. Many in the war torn region don’t have the patience, faith, or will as Abdullah did to sit after their families were taken from them for no reason. Many join Al-Qaeda and variant organizations to take revenge form those that put their life in total despair. It’s a foreign concept to the western world. Imagine a foreign invader with technology you’ve never seen, attack your suburban development. A missile hits your home on your way back from work. You pull up to your wife and children mangled, dead, burning on the lawn. Your immediate response is anguish and pain. Soon after you compose yourself you consult family and retrieve you fireproof safe containing a collection of firearms and ammunition. Your Government betrayed you by authorizing the attack within its borders. You locate and join the local militia, already mobilizing, you accept the conditions, resources and logistics to take you out to the front lines. A couple hours a month at the range, and revenge for your loss of innocence is all that’s behind your belt, your fate rest in your ability to survive the battle ground. Your life is taken by the very same drone and missile that took your families. Your cycle ended, though with every innocent civilian killed it starts over. As time passes a generation of war torn men, women and children assemble to create an army. The majority of these people, the common foot soldier, don’t defend a nation or religion they fight for revenge.
As stated in “The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives,” Brzezinski frames his strategy around controlling Eurasian landmass as a “key to world power” and that “Central Asia with its vast oil reserves as the key to domination of Eurasia”. The global controllers have drawn the doctrine, assembled the policy advisors, installed controlled presidencies, developed advance weapons systems for delivery, and contracted the mercenary to pursue a region, a country at the apex of what is considered world power. The ascendency of China as a primal force militarily and financially has the Anglo American imperialists charging into Pakistan, the center of the grand chess board, the position of central control, the life line of the opposing in the next world war.

Saturday, 6 October 2012

HILLARY CLINTON ! THE MOTHER OF MODERN ZIONISM


US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, is trying to buy time after having been questioned about the planned attack and coordinated US-sponsored al-Qaeda use to facilitate the murder of the late US Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens.
Except, there was no US Embassy in Benghazi. There was a “diplomatic office” or CIA-compound which was burned to the ground. The nearest US Embassy to the area is in Tripoli.
Stevens, hardly being a US Ambassador, but rather a gunrunner for the behind the scenes terroristic attacks by the Saudi Arabian nation on the Islamic world. Saudi Arabia adheres to Salafism, an extremist form of Islam that want all other forms of the religion wiped off the map. Stevens was ultimately killed by the same group he had provided guns and other armory for when they were employed by the US to commit the false flag attack on the CIA-compound in Benghazi.
The Government Accountability Office has threatened in a recent report to evaluate Clinton’s role in the attack. Diplomatic Security, which is the responsibility of the US State Department, is compromised if Clinton will allow coerced attacks using US-operatives masquerading as Islamic terrorists for the purpose of committing a flase flag to instigate war with Middle Eastern nations.
Clinton, trying to appear to be concerned about the event, vowed publicly to “find those responsible for the attack.” She said: “There are continuing questions about what exactly happened in Benghazi on that night three weeks ago. We will not rest until we answer those questions and until we track down the terrorists who killed our people.”
However, Clinton had connections to the orchestrated bombing that occurred on the anniversary of September 11th terrorist attacks where al-Qaeda was used as a scapegoat for the deaths of thousands of American citizens in one of the biggest state-sponsored false flags in US history.
Coinciding with Stevens’ death multiple waves of manufactured Muslim uprisings seemed to validate the terrorist attack. A US-funded film was created with the assistance of an FBI-informant who just happened to be an Israeli citizen. Over 100 Jewish donors gave money to have this “wag the dog” trailer produced so that the Islamic riots would have a purpose.
Creating spin to further convolute the issue, Clinton remarked: “We have a lot of work to do to give complete and accurate responses to all the questions and statements that are swirling out there. Let’s establish all the facts before we jump to any conclusions.”
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) was deployed to Tripoli, where the actual US Embassy is located. The crime scene in Benghazi was left to be destroyed by CIA-operatives dressed up as rioters to contaminate the evidence.
The State Department claims that cryptic warnings of an impending attack on Benghazi was relayed, yet devoid of a time frame and therefore ignored. In response, Darrell Issa, chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee and Jason Chaffetz, House Representative of Utah aredemanding an investigation and that Clinton explain the actions of the State Department in the time up and until the coordinated attack.
According to the letter from Issa to Clinton: “Based on information provided to the Committee by individuals with direct knowledge of events in Libya, the attack that claimed the ambassador’s life was the latest in a long line of attacks on Western diplomats and officials in Libya in the months leading up to September 11, 2012. It was clearly never, as Administration officials once insisted, the result of a popular protest,” the committee’s chairman, Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., and subcommittee chairman, Rep. Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, write. “In addition, multiple U.S. federal government officials have confirmed to the Committee that, prior to the September 11 attack, the U.S. mission in Libya made repeated requests for increased security in Benghazi. The mission in Libya, however, was denied these resources by officials in Washington.”
Stevens, having no idea that he was about to be sacrificed by the US government for the sake of a false flag attack, was not concerned about utilizing security in the days before the bombing. In fact, Clinton authorized the security to be lessened in Benghazi and the US Marines guarding the US Embassy in Tripoli to be disarmed.
Clinton wrote back to Issa, saying: “I appreciate that you and your committee are deeply interested in finding out what happened leading up to and during the attacks in Benghazi, and are looking for ways to prevent it from happening again. I share that commitment.” She asked Issa to allow that any summations of the event at Benghazi be held off until November, after the elections, or perhaps into 2013 because witnesses were being questioned at the State Department’s Office of Legislative Affairs. This must be a request to defer the issue until Clinton and their lackeys can get their stories straight.
To keep the truth that the attack on Benghazi was a US-backed false flag, documents at the compound were destroyed just prior to the attack. This act mirrors the sudden shredding of documents at the US Embassy in Beirut that destroyed classified information. These documents showed the names of Libyans who were working with the US as well as oil contracts and information regarding the coordinated attack. Clinton was in contact with the al-Qaeda operatives who attacked the compound in Benghazi and murdered Stevens just 48 hours before the event was enacted.
Publicly, the US State Department denies this fact by refusing to comment. The compound in Benghazi that was burned by al-Qaeda operatives was looted to make sure all evidence was removed before the press, residents of Libya or any official could gain access to the buildings. The compound in Benghazi was a safe-house that Stevens would have fled to during an emergency situation. Knowing this, Clinton combined fake revolutionaries with CIA-operatives to create a situation that could be spun to serve the purpose of the US and Israel in destroying the sovereign nations in the Middle East.
Last month Clinton admitted that al-Qaeda was used in the attack in Benghazi. Speaking to the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, Clinton stated that al-Qaeda was employed to facilitate a manufactured threat of Islamic extremism in the region. Clinton explains: “Now with a larger safe haven and increased freedom to maneuver, terrorists are seeking to extend their reach and their networks in multiple directions. And they are working with other violent extremists to undermine the democratic transitions under way in North Africa, as we tragically saw in Benghazi.”
In line with the US version of the story, Israeli “intelligence” reported that “This attack , along with the one in Egypt, is a reminder of the Iranian invasion of a U.S. embassy in Tehran that led to a lengthy hostage crisis which brought down the [President Jimmy] Carter administration



Friday, 5 October 2012

Did Turkey Just Declare War On Syria?

The Turkish Parliament has “authorized military operations” against Syria.  So exactly what does that mean?  Did Turkey just declare war on Syria?  For now, the government of Turkey is making a clear distinction between “military operations” and “declaring war”.   If Turkey were to “declare war”, that would likely involve Turkish troops actually entering Syria, and the war would not be considered “won” until certain objectives are achieved.  So by just authorizing “military operations” against Syria, Turkey can sit back and fire off artillery rounds (and potentially call in air strikes if necessary) without being committed to entering Syria or attacking Damascus.  Turkey is not too keen on invading Syria by itself anyway.  Turkey would want the help of NATO in such an event, and right now Barack Obama has made it abundantly clear to the Turkish government that he is not going to participate in an attack on syria before the election.  Obama has been leading in the polls and he has way too much to lose by starting another war.  But what all of this does show us is a couple of things.  First of all, once again we see that the Middle East is a tinderbox that can erupt at any moment.  Second of all, just the rumors of a war between Turkey and Syria sent the price of oil absolutely skyrocketing on Thursday.  It is frightening to imagine what a real war in the Middle East might do to the price of oil.


So what precipitated this move by Turkey?  Well, some mortar shelling that originated from inside Syria killed five people living in a town in Turkey near the border.  The following is from a fox news article….
Turkey’s Parliament authorized military operations against Syria on Thursday and its military fired on targets there for a second day after deadly shelling from Syria killed five civilians in a Turkish border town.
For its part, Syria admitted it was responsible for the shelling that killed five people in Turkey and formally apologized for the deaths, a top Turkish official said.
There are reports that the Turkish response was actually much stronger than the mainstream news has been admitting.
According to debka, the Turkish military was hitting syrian military targets with “continuous artillery barrages”….
Constrained from a substantial military incursion into Syria by US President Barack Obama’s veto and Saudi and Qatari refusals to help pay for it, Turkey’s government and military decided to make do with carving out a buffer strip 10 kilometers deep into Syria by continuous artillery barrages.
Thursday morning, Oct. 4 at 0300 GMT, Ankara ordered the Turkish army to keep up its cross-border shelling of Syria after the first bombardment Wednesday night in response to the deaths of five Turkish civilians and eight injured by Syrian mortar shells which exploded in their village.
DEBKAfile’s military sources report the artillery squads were told to aim primarily at syrian military targets inside this strip, including bases, outposts and Syrian forces on the move.
Several Syrian bases and outposts have been hit so far and a large number of Syrian soldiers killed or wounded. Neither Ankara nor Damascus is offering information on casualties. They have imposed a heavy blackout on events so as to keep them under control and avoid the risk of a full-blown war.
Many believe that this could end up being the excuse that NATO will use to intervene in the conflict in Syria.  Since the uprising against President Bashar Assad began, approximately 30000 people inside Syria have been killed.  It has been a very bloody conflict.
But Syria is not alone.  The Assad regime still has plenty of friends.  In fact, there have been reports that both Hezbollah and Iran have been moving forces into position to help defend Syria.
That is one reason why it is so important to keep a close eye on this conflict.  What is starting out as a conflict between Turkey and Syria could end up drawing in the United States, the rest of NATO, Iran, Hezbollah and potentially even several other countries in the Middle East.
And if war erupts in the Middle East, the price of oil is going to go through the roof.
Just look at what happened on Thursday.  The price of oil jumped about 3 dollars as reports of what was happening between Turkey and Syria reached the financial markets.


So what would happen if a full-blown war in the Middle East took place and the flow of oil was significantly disrupted?
That is a bit frightening to think about.
Sometimes we need a reminder of just how fast things can change.  For example, thanks to a couple of temporary refinery problems in California the price of gasoline in that state is spiking and some gas stations are actually shutting down for a while.
The average price of a gallon of gasoline in California increased by 8.3 cents on Wednesday alone.  It is now sitting at $4.315, which is about 53 cents above the national average.
According to Bloomberg, the refinery problems are causing gasoline shortages and quite a few gas stationsare actually shutting down their pumps for now….
Gasoline station owners in the Los Angeles area including Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) are beginning to shut pumps as the state’s oil refiners started rationing supplies and spot prices surged to a record.
Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) stopped selling gasoline on the spot, or wholesale, market in southern california and is allocating deliveries to customersExxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) is also rationing fuel to U.S. West Coast terminal customers. Costco’s outlet in Simi Valley, 40 miles (64 kilometers) northwest of Los Angeles, ran out of regular gasoline yesterday and was selling premium fuel at the price of regular.
And according to Fox 5 San Diego, some gas stations are being told that there will not be any more gasoline until mid-October….
Dave Hallak, owner of Emerald Oil at 5600 Baltimore Drive, received a call Wednesday morning from his gasoline supplier saying he won’t be getting more gasoline until mid-October.
“My supplier said there’s no gas available in San Diego,” said Hallak. “He said ‘all the racks are down in southern california and there’s very tight supply, if any.’”
Of course these problems are just temporary and things should get back to normal soon.
But what if a major war in the Middle East disrupted the supply of gasoline for an extended period of time?
Our world is becoming increasingly unstable, and an event on the other side of the globe can change all of our lives in an instant.
Let us hope for peace in the Middle East, but let us also get prepared for the day when war will inevitably come.

Labels